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São Tomé
Gerhard Seibert, "São Tomé and Príncipe: 12 oil ministers since 1999, but not a single drop of oil yet" (IPRIS Lusophone Countries Bulletin, No. 5, March 2010): cited by "An Uncertain Future: Oil Contracts and Stalled Reform in São Tomé e Príncipe" (Human Rights Watch, August 2010).LibyaDiogo Noivo, "Real reformism or political diversion? Saif al-Islam Gaddafi's role in domestic Libyan politics" (IPRIS Maghreb Review, No. 3, June 2010): cited by Arturo Varvelli, "Libia: vere riforme oltre la retorica?" (ISPI Analysis, No. 17, July 2010).Portugal e AngolaPedro Seabra e Paulo Gorjão, "Portugal and Angola: Ties that bind?" (IPRIS Policy Brief, No. 4, July 2010): citado por Adriano de Sousa, "Números e factos das relações luso-angolanas" (Semanário Angolense, 24.7.2010): 9. |
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Forthcoming: IPRIS Viewpoints 19ECOWAS and the Brazilian foothold in Africa By Pedro Seabra IPRIS Viewpoints 18ETA cease-fire: Handle with caution Diogo Noivo SEPTEMBER 2010 -- The organization is going through its weakest moment in decades of terrorism, and negotiations are a natural step to take, as it allows the terrorist group to save face under the illusion that it negotiates because it wants and not because it needs to. Download Full Text: IPRIS Viewpoints 18 IPRIS Viewpoints 17Is foreign policy an issue in Brazil's presidential elections? Pedro Seabra SEPTEMBER 2010 -- Brazil's foreign policy has gained substantial gravitas during Lula's two terms at the helm of the country. Consequently, any candidate's intended plans for the country's policy abroad should be given some much needed focus and dignified attention. As Brazil goes to vote on October 3, it will not only seek a new leader but also a new face and voice to present to the world, a person who will inevitably and decisively shape the country's agenda for years to come. Download Full Text: IPRIS Viewpoints 17 IPRIS Lusophone Countries Bulletin 10AUGUST 2010 -- Table of Contents: Paulo Gorjão, "Portugal and South Africa: Matching words with deeds" Diogo Noivo, "AQIM and West Africa: Can Guinea-Bissau become a narco-terrorist platform?" Gerhard Seibert, "20 years on São Tomé and Príncipe has voted again for 'change'" Timeline of Events
Download Full Text: IPRIS Lusophone Countries Bulletin 10 IPRIS Viewpoints 16São Tomé: Heading into political instability as usual?
Paulo Gorjão
AUGUST 2010 -- As soon as electoral results were known, political observers immediately predicted that São Tomé was heading "once again for a fragile government", thus "prolonging political instability". Indeed, the failure to form a government coalition, together with São Tomé's track record, fully supports their pessimistic predictions. Since the transition to democracy between 1990 and 1991, São Tomé and Príncipe has had an extensive list of prime ministers heading an equally vast list of governments. Since then, no government has lasted a full parliamentary term, even when they were able to form a coalition to support them, and several governments were extremely short-lived. After 1991, on average, a government has not lasted two years. Moreover, political instability was further reinforced with a military coup in July 2003 and one alleged coup attempt in February 2009. Overall, political stability has not been one of São Tomé's main characteristics. Download Full Text: IPRIS Viewpoints 16
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Moçambique
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Portugal and UNIFIL
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